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  Constructing scenarios using ScenarioWizard


The typical structure of a cross-impact analysis using ScenarioWizard is as follows:

1. Generate a list of descriptors (relevant system elements) and their qualitative variants, the "analysis structure".






2. Enter the cross-impact data into this structure. The analysis structure and the cross-impact data together form the cross-impact matrix.






3. Evaluate the cross-impact matrix by computing its solution set (the set of consistent scenarios). One way to depict the solution set is to arrange the scenarios into a scenario tableau:






4. ScenarioWizard provides several analysis functions to analyze the obtained scenarios. Among others, the software can generate an automatic scenario report discussing the pros and cons of all scenario assumptions using textual and graphical elements.






=> Back to page "ScenarioWizard"

News
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Version 4.2 of the free CIB software ScenarioWizard is available now... More
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SafeMed, a project analysing potential risks for the pharma supply chain, uses CIB to develop hazard scenarios... More
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The Helmholtz Alliance "ENERGY-TRANS" studies the interplay between technological and societal aspects of the energy transition in Germany. ZIRIUS develops societal scenarios using the CIB method... More
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The German-Peruvian project LiWa aims at strategies to cope with the threats of climate change to the water supply of Lima. The project's integrative scenarios are developed using the CIB method... More
Archive
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The archive provides a compilation of older notes on CIB projects and publications... More